Table 2

Bradford–Hill criteria for causality applied to the association between COPD, asthma and bronchiectasis

Bradford Hill criteriaCOPDAsthma
Strength of association/effect sizeSome studies report strong associations but may have methodological limitationsStrong association demonstrated
Consistency/reproducibilityReported by several studies with most reporting a high prevalenceReported by several studies with most reporting a high prevalence
SpecificityLacking, as there are often other possible causes presentLacking, as there are often other possible causes present
TemporalityRarely demonstratedRarely demonstrated
Biological gradientClearly demonstrated across multiple studies that as COPD becomes more severe bronchiectasis is more prevalentSome evidence that bronchiectasis is more common in more severe asthma
PlausibilityBoth COPD and bronchiectasis are characterised by neutrophilic inflammation and share common features and therefore probably some common pathophysiologyStrong association between bronchiectasis and ABPA proves an association with eosinophilic inflammation, therefore association with asthma is highly plausible
CoherenceNot fully testableNot fully testable
ExperimentExperimental models of COPD are generally poor and conclusions cannot be drawnExperimental models of asthma do not show features of bronchiectasis
AnalogyCOPD fits the model of the vicious cycle of bronchiectasis, being characterised by airway inflammation, infection and airway damageAsthma fits the model of the vicious cycle of bronchiectasis, being characterised by airway inflammation, infection and airway damage